Can the Delay in Antarctic Polar Vortex Breakup Explain Recent Trends in Surface Westerlies?
Détails
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Accès restreint UNIL
Etat: Public
Version: Final published version
Licence: Non spécifiée
Accès restreint UNIL
Etat: Public
Version: Final published version
Licence: Non spécifiée
ID Serval
serval:BIB_9CB554907AB3
Type
Article: article d'un périodique ou d'un magazine.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Titre
Can the Delay in Antarctic Polar Vortex Breakup Explain Recent Trends in Surface Westerlies?
Périodique
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences
ISSN
0022-4928
1520-0469
1520-0469
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
01/02/2014
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
71
Numéro
2
Pages
566-573
Langue
anglais
Résumé
The authors test the hypothesis that recent observed trends in surface westerlies in the Southern Hemisphere are directly consequent on observed trends in the timing of stratospheric final warming events. The analysis begins by verifying that final warming events have an impact on tropospheric circulation in a simplified GCM driven by specified equilibrium temperature distributions. Seasonal variations are imposed in the stratosphere only. The model produces qualitatively realistic final warming events whose influence extends down to the surface, much like what has been reported in observational analyses. The authors then go on to study observed trends in surface westerlies composited with respect to the date of final warming events. If the considered hypothesis were correct, these trends would appear to be much weaker when composited with respect to the date of the final warming events. The authors find that this is not the case, and accordingly they conclude that the observed surface changes cannot be attributed simply to this shift toward later final warming events.
Mots-clé
ScienceStratospheric circulation, Stratophere-troposphere coupling, Stratosphere, General circulation models, Reanalysis data
Web of science
Site de l'éditeur
Création de la notice
08/03/2022 14:13
Dernière modification de la notice
14/11/2024 13:44