The Informativeness of Micro and Macro Information During Economic Crisis and Non-Crisis Periods
Détails
ID Serval
serval:BIB_758928CF6A28
Type
Actes de conférence (partie): contribution originale à la littérature scientifique, publiée à l'occasion de conférences scientifiques, dans un ouvrage de compte-rendu (proceedings), ou dans l'édition spéciale d'un journal reconnu (conference proceedings).
Sous-type
Abstract (résumé de présentation): article court qui reprend les éléments essentiels présentés à l'occasion d'une conférence scientifique dans un poster ou lors d'une intervention orale.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Titre
The Informativeness of Micro and Macro Information During Economic Crisis and Non-Crisis Periods
Titre de la conférence
39th Annual Congress of the European Accounting Association
Editeur
European Accounting Association
Adresse
Maastricht, The Netherlands
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
2016
Langue
anglais
Résumé
We investigate whether the informativeness of reported profitability and macroeconomic expectations differs between non-crisis and crisis economic periods by analyzing data for five European Union countries over the period 2005-2011. We find, first, macroeconomic expectations: a) are useful in predicting future profitability only in non-crisis periods, and b) are not useful in predicting stock returns in either period. Second, reported profitability: a) is useful in predicting future profitability in both crisis and non-crisis periods but less so in crisis periods, and b) is useful in predicting returns only in crisis periods. The cash flow component of profitability drives these results while the accrual component appears to be uninformative. Third, expected profitability, implied by the interaction between current profitability and macroeconomic expectations, is informative in predicting future profitability in both crisis and non-crisis periods and is efficiently priced only for high profitability firms during non-crisis periods.
Création de la notice
20/06/2017 10:14
Dernière modification de la notice
21/08/2019 6:17