A Reappraisal of the Allocation Puzzle through the Portfolio Approach
Détails
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Etat: Public
Version: de l'auteur⸱e
Etat: Public
Version: de l'auteur⸱e
ID Serval
serval:BIB_711D491B5FC7
Type
Article: article d'un périodique ou d'un magazine.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Titre
A Reappraisal of the Allocation Puzzle through the Portfolio Approach
Périodique
Journal of International Economics
ISSN
0022-1996
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
02/2013
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
89
Numéro
2
Pages
331-346
Langue
anglais
Résumé
Paradoxically, high-growth, high-investment developing countries tend to experience capital outflows. This paper shows that this allocation puzzle can be explained simply by introducing uninsurable idiosyncratic investment risk in the neoclassical growth model with international trade in bonds, and by taking into account not only TFP catch-up, but also the capital wedge, that is, the distortions on the return to capital. The model fits the two following facts, documented on a sample of 67 countries between 1980 and 2003: (i) TFP growth is positively correlated with capital outflows in a sample including creditor countries; (ii) the long-run level of capital per efficient unit of labor is positively correlated with capital outflows. Consistently, we show that the capital flows predicted by the model are positively correlated with the actual ones in this sample once the capital wedge is accounted for. The fact that Asia dominates global imbalances can be explained by its relatively low capital wedge.
Mots-clé
Capital flows, Global imbalances, Investment risk
Web of science
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Création de la notice
05/01/2011 16:39
Dernière modification de la notice
20/08/2019 14:29