National interest may require distributing COVID-19 vaccines to other countries.
Détails
Télécharger: s41598-021-97544-5.pdf (1606.12 [Ko])
Etat: Public
Version: Final published version
Licence: CC BY 4.0
Etat: Public
Version: Final published version
Licence: CC BY 4.0
ID Serval
serval:BIB_6EAB0FA3454C
Type
Article: article d'un périodique ou d'un magazine.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Titre
National interest may require distributing COVID-19 vaccines to other countries.
Périodique
Scientific reports
ISSN
2045-2322 (Electronic)
ISSN-L
2045-2322
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
14/09/2021
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
11
Numéro
1
Pages
18253
Langue
anglais
Notes
Publication types: Journal Article ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Publication Status: epublish
Publication Status: epublish
Résumé
As immunization campaigns are accelerating, understanding how to distribute the scarce doses of vaccines is of paramount importance and a quantitative analysis of the trade-offs involved in domestic-only versus cooperative distribution is still missing. In this study we use a network Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model to show circumstances under which it is in a country's self-interest to ensure other countries can obtain COVID-19 vaccines rather than focusing only on vaccination of their own residents. In particular, we focus our analysis on the United States and estimate the internal burden of COVID-19 disease under different scenarios about vaccine cooperation. We show that in scenarios in which the US has reached the threshold for domestic herd immunity, the US may find it optimal to donate doses to other countries with lower vaccination coverage, as this would allow for a sharp reduction in the inflow of infected individuals from abroad.
Mots-clé
COVID-19/prevention & control, COVID-19/virology, COVID-19 Vaccines/administration & dosage, COVID-19 Vaccines/immunology, Humans, Immunity, Herd, Models, Theoretical, SARS-CoV-2/isolation & purification, United States, Vaccination
Pubmed
Web of science
Open Access
Oui
Création de la notice
04/10/2021 10:35
Dernière modification de la notice
05/10/2021 6:10