How robust are global conservation priorities to climate change?

Détails

ID Serval
serval:BIB_4F2466ED2B2F
Type
Article: article d'un périodique ou d'un magazine.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Titre
How robust are global conservation priorities to climate change?
Périodique
Global Environmental Change
Auteur⸱e⸱s
Iwamura T., Guisan A., Wilson K.A., Possingham H.P., Possingham P
ISSN
0959-3780
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
2013
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
23
Numéro
5
Pages
1277-1284
Langue
anglais
Résumé
International conservation organisations have identified priority areas for biodiversity conservation. These global-scale prioritisations affect the distribution of funds for conservation interventions. As each organisation has a different focus, each prioritisation scheme is determined by different decision criteria and the resultant priority areas vary considerably. However, little is known about how the priority areas will respond to the impacts of climate change. In this paper, we examined the robustness of eight global-scale prioritisations to climate change under various climate predictions from seven global circulation models. We developed a novel metric of the climate stability for 803 ecoregions based on a recently introduced method to estimate the overlap of climate envelopes. The relationships between the decision criteria and the robustness of the global prioritisation schemes were statistically examined. We found that decision criteria related to level of endemism and landscape fragmentation were strongly correlated with areas predicted to be robust to a changing climate. Hence, policies that prioritise intact areas due to the likely cost efficiency, and assumptions related to the potential to mitigate the impacts of climate change, require further examination. Our findings will help determine where additional management is required to enable biodiversity to adapt to the impacts of climate change
Mots-clé
International biodiversity conservation, Biodiversity hotspots, Climate change, Terrestrial ecoregions, Climate envelopes, Climate stability index
Web of science
Création de la notice
10/07/2013 8:21
Dernière modification de la notice
20/08/2019 15:04
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