Residential radon - Comparative analysis of exposure models in Switzerland.
Détails
Télécharger: 1-s2.0-S0269749120370457-main.pdf (1969.88 [Ko])
Etat: Public
Version: Final published version
Licence: CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
Etat: Public
Version: Final published version
Licence: CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
ID Serval
serval:BIB_387E28DD0EE3
Type
Article: article d'un périodique ou d'un magazine.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Titre
Residential radon - Comparative analysis of exposure models in Switzerland.
Périodique
Environmental pollution
ISSN
1873-6424 (Electronic)
ISSN-L
0269-7491
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
15/02/2021
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
271
Pages
116356
Langue
anglais
Notes
Publication types: Journal Article
Résumé
Residential radon exposure is a major public health issue in Switzerland due to the known association between inhaled radon progeny and lung cancer. To confirm recent findings of an association with skin cancer mortality, an updated national radon model is needed. The aim of this study was to derive the best possible residential radon prediction model for subsequent epidemiological analyses. Two different radon prediction models were developed (linear regression model vs. random forest) using ca. 80,000 measurements in the Swiss Radon Database (1994-2017). A range of geographic predictors and building specific predictors were considered in the 3-D models (x,y, floor of dwelling). A five-fold modelling strategy was used to evaluate the robustness of each approach, with models developed (80% measurement locations) and validated (20%) using standard diagnostics. Random forest consistently outperformed the linear regression model, with higher Spearman's rank correlation (51% vs. 36%), validation coefficient of determination (R <sup>2</sup> 31% vs. 15%), lower root mean square error (RMSE) and lower fractional bias. Applied to the population of 5.4 million adults in 2000, the random forest resulted in an arithmetic mean (standard deviation) of 75.5 (31.7) Bq/m <sup>3</sup> , and indicated a respective 16.1% and 0.1% adults with predicted radon concentrations exceeding the World Health Organization (100 Bq/m <sup>3</sup> ) and Swiss (300 Bq/m <sup>3</sup> ) reference values.
Mots-clé
Exposure, Household, Modelling, Radon
Pubmed
Open Access
Oui
Création de la notice
11/01/2021 13:24
Dernière modification de la notice
11/03/2021 7:08