Decomposing Euro-Area Sovereign Spreads: Credit and Liquidity Risks

Détails

ID Serval
serval:BIB_2D9A1C61E6E2
Type
Article: article d'un périodique ou d'un magazine.
Collection
Publications
Titre
Decomposing Euro-Area Sovereign Spreads: Credit and Liquidity Risks
Périodique
Review of Finance
Auteur⸱e⸱s
Monfort A., Renne J.-P.
ISSN
1573-692X (Online)
1572-3097 (Print)
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
2014
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
18
Numéro
6
Pages
2103-2151
Langue
anglais
Notes
Monfort_Renne_2014
Résumé
This article presents an intensity-based model of euro-area sovereign spreads. To identify liquidity-pricing effects, we exploit the information contained in the spreads between bonds issued by a German agency (KfW) and their sovereign counterparts. KfW's liabilities being guaranteed by the German government, these spreads are essentially liquidity-driven. Liquidity effects are found to account for a sizeable share of spreads' fluctuations. After having filtered risk premiums out of the spreads, we estimate the physical default probabilities of eleven countries. Physical probabilities of default are lower than risk-neutral ones, consistently with the existence of a nondiversifiable euro-area sovereign credit risk.
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Création de la notice
23/09/2015 15:46
Dernière modification de la notice
20/08/2019 13:12
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