Stratospheric drivers of extreme events at the Earth's surface
Détails
Télécharger: s43247-020-00060-z.pdf (1761.68 [Ko])
Etat: Public
Version: Final published version
Licence: CC BY 4.0
Etat: Public
Version: Final published version
Licence: CC BY 4.0
ID Serval
serval:BIB_26A7386C82B4
Type
Article: article d'un périodique ou d'un magazine.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Titre
Stratospheric drivers of extreme events at the Earth's surface
Périodique
Communications Earth & Environment
ISSN
2662-4435
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
12/2020
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
1
Numéro
1
Langue
anglais
Résumé
The stratosphere, the layer of the atmosphere at heights between 10-50 km, is an important source of variability for the weather and climate at the Earth’s surface on timescales of weeks to decades. Since the stratospheric circulation evolves more slowly than that of the troposphere below, it can contribute to predictability at the surface. Our synthesis of studies on the coupling between the stratosphere and the troposphere reveals that the stratosphere also contributes substantially to a wide range of climate-related extreme events. These extreme events include cold air outbreaks and extreme heat, air pollution, wildfires, wind extremes, and storm clusters, as well as changes in tropical cyclones and sea ice cover, and they can have devastating consequences for human health, infrastructure, and ecosystems. A better understanding of the vertical coupling in the atmosphere, along with improved representation in numerical models, is therefore expected to help predict extreme events on timescales from weeks to decades in terms of the event type, magnitude, frequency, location, and timing. With a better understanding of stratosphere-troposphere coupling, it may be possible to link more tropospheric extremes to stratospheric forcing, which will be crucial for emergency planning and management.
Mots-clé
Atmospheric science, Natural hazards
Web of science
Site de l'éditeur
Open Access
Oui
Création de la notice
08/03/2022 14:13
Dernière modification de la notice
11/07/2024 9:39