The reiteration effect in hindsight bias

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_F76EEE3DC43F
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Title
The reiteration effect in hindsight bias
Journal
Psychological Review
Author(s)
Hertwig R., Gigerenzer G., Hoffrage U.
ISSN
0033-295X
Publication state
Published
Issued date
1997
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
104
Number
1
Pages
194-202
Language
english
Abstract
Repetition of an assertion increases the degree of belief in that assertion. This reiteration effect is used to explain two puzzling findings in research on hindsight bias. First, the reiteration effect explains the asymmetry in hindsight bias for true and false assertions. This striking asymmetry has often been observed in experimental studies, but no rationale has yet been found. Second, the reiteration effect predicts a novel finding: Recalled confidence will increase in hindsight bias studies even if no feedback is given. The authors have checked both predictions against results reported in the literature; with some exceptions, the evidence supports them.
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Create date
24/02/2009 15:34
Last modification date
20/08/2019 17:23
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