Regional excess mortality during the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic in five European countries.

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_DE29E59FBE66
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Title
Regional excess mortality during the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic in five European countries.
Journal
Nature communications
Author(s)
Konstantinoudis G., Cameletti M., Gómez-Rubio V., Gómez I.L., Pirani M., Baio G., Larrauri A., Riou J., Egger M., Vineis P., Blangiardo M.
ISSN
2041-1723 (Electronic)
ISSN-L
2041-1723
Publication state
Published
Issued date
25/01/2022
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
13
Number
1
Pages
482
Language
english
Notes
Publication types: Journal Article ; Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Publication Status: epublish
Abstract
The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on excess mortality from all causes in 2020 varied across and within European countries. Using data for 2015-2019, we applied Bayesian spatio-temporal models to quantify the expected weekly deaths at the regional level had the pandemic not occurred in England, Greece, Italy, Spain, and Switzerland. With around 30%, Madrid, Castile-La Mancha, Castile-Leon (Spain) and Lombardia (Italy) were the regions with the highest excess mortality. In England, Greece and Switzerland, the regions most affected were Outer London and the West Midlands (England), Eastern, Western and Central Macedonia (Greece), and Ticino (Switzerland), with 15-20% excess mortality in 2020. Our study highlights the importance of the large transportation hubs for establishing community transmission in the first stages of the pandemic. Here, we show that acting promptly to limit transmission around these hubs is essential to prevent spread to other regions and countries.
Keywords
Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Bayes Theorem, COVID-19/epidemiology, COVID-19/mortality, COVID-19/virology, Cause of Death, England/epidemiology, Female, Geography, Greece/epidemiology, Humans, Italy/epidemiology, Male, Middle Aged, Pandemics/prevention & control, Pandemics/statistics & numerical data, SARS-CoV-2/isolation & purification, SARS-CoV-2/physiology, Spain/epidemiology, Survival Rate, Switzerland/epidemiology
Pubmed
Web of science
Open Access
Yes
Create date
11/03/2025 10:31
Last modification date
12/03/2025 7:08
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