Interdependencies in security of electricity supply

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_C8B960DCF0DF
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Interdependencies in security of electricity supply
Journal
Energy
Author(s)
Osorio S., van Ackere A., Larsen E.R.
ISSN
0360-5442
Publication state
Published
Issued date
09/2017
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
135
Pages
598-609
Language
english
Abstract
The analysis of security of electricity supply (SoES) is particularly complex due to, among others, the liberalisation process and the increasing penetration of renewable energies. Larsen et al. [1] propose a framework based on twelve dimensions to evaluate SoES for a single jurisdiction. However, actions aimed at improving one dimension might impact others negatively, adversely affecting the overall system. Understanding how these dimensions are interrelated is thus a prerequisite for appropriate planning and resource allocation. We apply a Cross Impact Analysis (CIA) to these dimensions to determine the degree to which the different dimensions depend on each other. From this we derive an influence diagram to visualise the interdependencies and a scatter plot to categorise the dimensions as independent, driver, connector or outcome. Actions targeting the drivers or connectors are potentially the more effective ones a regulator can take, as the consequences will gradually ripple through the system. Having an integral view of the dimensions' interdependencies provides a better understanding of the higher-order changes an intervention may cause. This enables policymakers and regulators to identifying where in the system to intervene to achieve the desired effect with the least amount of resources and with as few undesirable side-effects as possible.
Keywords
General Energy, Pollution
Web of science
Funding(s)
Swiss National Science Foundation / CR12I1_140740
Swiss National Science Foundation / CR12I1_159265
Create date
19/12/2017 16:06
Last modification date
18/09/2019 6:10
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