Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease burden - Switzerland 2018-2030.
Details
Serval ID
serval:BIB_B8322F1C62C4
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease burden - Switzerland 2018-2030.
Journal
Swiss medical weekly
ISSN
1424-3997 (Electronic)
ISSN-L
0036-7672
Publication state
Published
Issued date
16/12/2019
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
149
Pages
w20152
Language
english
Notes
Publication types: Comparative Study ; Journal Article
Publication Status: epublish
Publication Status: epublish
Abstract
As a result of epidemic levels of obesity and diabetes mellitus, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) will contribute to increases in the liver-related disease burden in Switzerland. A Markov model was built to quantify fibrosis progression among the NAFLD and NASH populations, and predict disease burden up to 2030. Long-term trending of NAFLD prevalence was based on changes in the prevalence of adult obesity. Published estimates and surveillance data were applied to build and validate the model projections. The prevalence of NAFLD increased up to 2030 in tandem with projected increases in adult obesity. By 2030, there were an estimated 2,234,000 (1,918,000–2,553,000) NAFLD cases, or 24.3% (20.9–27.8%) of the total Swiss population (all ages). Increases in NASH cases were relatively greater than NAFLD cases. Incident cases of advanced liver disease are projected to increase by approximately 40% by 2030, and incident NAFLD liver deaths to increase from 580 deaths in 2018 to 820 deaths in 2030. Continued growth in obesity, in combination with an aging population, will result in increasing number of cases of advanced liver disease and mortality related to NAFLD and NASH. Slowing the growth in obesity and metabolic syndrome, along with future potential therapies, are required to reduce liver disease burden.  .
Keywords
Adolescent, Adult, Age Distribution, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Female, Humans, Male, Markov Chains, Middle Aged, Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/complications, Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/epidemiology, Obesity/complications, Obesity/enzymology, Switzerland/epidemiology, Young Adult
Pubmed
Web of science
Open Access
Yes
Create date
23/05/2024 12:59
Last modification date
24/05/2024 7:06