Financial Development and the Instability of Open Economies
Details
Serval ID
serval:BIB_B36CBA6AA78A
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Financial Development and the Instability of Open Economies
Journal
Journal of Monetary Economics
ISSN
0304-3932
Publication state
Published
Issued date
2004
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
51
Number
6
Pages
1077-1106
Language
english
Abstract
This paper introduces a framework for analyzing the role of financial factors as a source of instability in small open economies. Our basic model is a dynamic open economy model with a tradeable good produced with capital and a country-specific factor. We also assume that firms face credit constraints, with the constraint being tighter at a lower level of financial development. A basic implication of this model is that economies at an intermediate level of financial development are more unstable than either very developed or very underdeveloped economies. This is true both in the sense that temporary shocks have large and persistent effects and also in the sense that these economies can exhibit cycles. Thus, countries that are going through a phase of financial development may become more unstable in the short run. Similarly, full capital account liberalization may destabilize the economy in economies at an intermediate level of financial development: phases of growth with capital inflows are followed by collapse with capital outflows. On the other hand, foreign direct investment does not destabilize.
Keywords
Financial development, Volatility, Financial liberalization
Web of science
Create date
19/11/2007 10:45
Last modification date
20/08/2019 15:21