A Tale of Two Cycles: Co-Fluctuations Between UK Regions and the Euro Zone

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_9AD80C604FCA
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
A Tale of Two Cycles: Co-Fluctuations Between UK Regions and the Euro Zone
Journal
The Manchester School
Author(s)
Barrios S., Brülhart M., Elliott R. J. R., Sensier M.
ISSN
1463-6786
Publication state
Published
Issued date
2003
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
71
Number
3
Pages
265-292
Language
english
Abstract
We examine the patterns and determinants of business-cycle correlations among eleven UK regions and six euro-zone countries over the 1966-1997 period, using GMM to allow for sampling error in comparing estimated correlations. The British business cycle is found to be persistently out of phase with that of the main euro-zone economies, and the trend is towards lower correlations. We detect only minor cyclical heterogeneity among UK regions. Differences in sectoral specialisation drive some of the asymmetry in GDP fluctuations, but they do not appear significant in explaining the observed reduction in UK-EU business-cycle correlations over time.
Keywords
business cycles, co-fluctuations, UK regions, European monetary union, optimum currency areas
Web of science
Create date
19/11/2007 11:42
Last modification date
20/08/2019 16:01
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