Do prices transmit rationally expected information?

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_893EBBCA85FE
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Do prices transmit rationally expected information?
Journal
Journal of the European Economic Association
Author(s)
Desgranges Gabriel, Geoffard Pierre-Yves, Guesnerie Roger
ISSN
1542-4766
Publication state
Published
Issued date
2003
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
1
Number
1
Pages
124-153
Language
english
Abstract
A simple model with asymmetric information, in which inventory holders or traders submit demand curves to an auctioneer, has a unique partially revealing equilibrium. We wonder whether the agents can plausibly coordinate on this equilibrium through "eductive" reasoning relying on common knowledge. The analysis stresses the role of two effects, sensitivity and amplification, whose product should be small enough. The property is obtained whenever the equilibrium excess demand is steep enough, i.e., when the search for information does not distort demand too much. Neither the influence of the number of informed agents nor that of noise trading are monotonic. Real-time learning has strikingly different features. [Authors]
Keywords
Economics
Create date
14/03/2008 11:21
Last modification date
20/08/2019 15:48
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