COVID-19 et guerre en Ukraine : Influence des crises internationales sur le vote pour Emmanuel Macron

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_725171A10DB4
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
COVID-19 et guerre en Ukraine : Influence des crises internationales sur le vote pour Emmanuel Macron
Journal
Revue française de science politique
Author(s)
Michel Elie, Brouard Sylvain
ISSN
0035-2950
Publication state
Published
Issued date
25/01/2022
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
Vol. 72
Number
6
Pages
945-975
Language
french
Abstract
This article examines the impact of crises resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine on the vote for Emmanuel Macron in the first round of the 2022 French presidential elections. To that end, it empirically tests out two theories that purport to explain the electoral repercussions of international crises: retrospective voting and the rally ‘round the flag effect. Using panel survey data, this article shows the relevance of both mechanisms regarding the French electoral context in 2022. Although the COVID‑19 pandemic erupted more than two years prior to the presidential election, assessments of the public health and economic policies adopted to handle this crisis were decisive for the incumbent president’s success. In addition, albeit to a lesser extent, Macron also benefited from a rally ‘round the flag effect linked to the war in Ukraine.
Create date
12/09/2024 13:29
Last modification date
13/09/2024 16:20
Usage data