Optimal Long-Term Allocation for a Defined-Contributions Pension Fund

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_64757FE6599D
Type
Report: a report published by a school or other institution, usually numbered within a series.
Publication sub-type
Working paper: Working papers contain results presented by the author. Working papers aim to stimulate discussions between scientists with interested parties, they can also be the basis to publish articles in specialized journals
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Optimal Long-Term Allocation for a Defined-Contributions Pension Fund
Author(s)
Jondeau E., Rockinger M.
Institution details
HEC Lausanne
Issued date
2014
Language
english
Abstract
We build a macroeconomic model for Switzerland, the Euro Area, and the USA that drives the dynamics of several asset classes and the liabilities of a representative Swiss (defined-contribution) pension fund. This encompassing approach allows us to generate correlations between returns on assets and liabilities. We calibrate the economy using quarterly data between 1985:Q1 and 2013:Q2. Using a certainty equivalent approach, we demonstrate that a liabilities hedging portfolio outperforms an assets-only strategy by between 5% and 15% per year. The main reason for such a large improvement is that the optimal assets-only portfolio is typically long in cash, whereas hedging liabilities require the pension fund to be short in cash. It follows that imposing positivity restrictions in the construction of the portfolio also results in a large cost, between 4% and 8% per year. This estimate suggests that allowing pension funds to hedge their liabilities through borrowing cash and investing in a diversified bond portfolio helps to enhance the global portfolio return.
Keywords
Systematic Risk, Skewness, Predictability, Trading Strategies
Create date
19/10/2017 11:10
Last modification date
21/08/2019 6:14
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