A comparative analysis of Chikungunya and Zika transmission.

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_5E4C291CA82F
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Title
A comparative analysis of Chikungunya and Zika transmission.
Journal
Epidemics
Author(s)
Riou J., Poletto C., Boëlle P.Y.
ISSN
1878-0067 (Electronic)
ISSN-L
1878-0067
Publication state
Published
Issued date
06/2017
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
19
Pages
43-52
Language
english
Notes
Publication types: Comparative Study ; Journal Article
Publication Status: ppublish
Abstract
The recent global dissemination of Chikungunya and Zika has fostered public health concern worldwide. To better understand the drivers of transmission of these two arboviral diseases, we propose a joint analysis of Chikungunya and Zika epidemics in the same territories, taking into account the common epidemiological features of the epidemics: transmitted by the same vector, in the same environments, and observed by the same surveillance systems. We analyse eighteen outbreaks in French Polynesia and the French West Indies using a hierarchical time-dependent SIR model accounting for the effect of virus, location and weather on transmission, and based on a disease specific serial interval. We show that Chikungunya and Zika have similar transmission potential in the same territories (transmissibility ratio between Zika and Chikungunya of 1.04 [95% credible interval: 0.97; 1.13]), but that detection and reporting rates were different (around 19% for Zika and 40% for Chikungunya). Temperature variations between 22°C and 29°C did not alter transmission, but increased precipitation showed a dual effect, first reducing transmission after a two-week delay, then increasing it around five weeks later. The present study provides valuable information for risk assessment and introduces a modelling framework for the comparative analysis of arboviral infections that can be extended to other viruses and territories.
Keywords
Chikungunya Fever/epidemiology, Chikungunya Fever/transmission, Epidemics/statistics & numerical data, Humans, Polynesia/epidemiology, West Indies/epidemiology, Zika Virus, Zika Virus Infection/epidemiology, Zika Virus Infection/transmission, Chikungunya virus, Multilevel analysis, Outbreak analysis, Weather, Zika virus
Pubmed
Web of science
Open Access
Yes
Create date
11/03/2025 11:31
Last modification date
12/03/2025 8:08
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