A Foresight Support System Using MCDM Methods
Details
Serval ID
serval:BIB_4F9286490E50
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
A Foresight Support System Using MCDM Methods
Journal
Group Decision and Negotiation Journal (GDN)
ISSN
0926-2644
1572-9907
1572-9907
Publication state
Published
Issued date
01/2015
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
24
Number
2
Pages
333‑358
Language
english
Abstract
In this paper, we demonstrate the design and use of a foresight support system (FSS) combining two multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) methods. Traditionally, foresight activities involves Delphi, focus group, or Estimate-Talk-Estimate techniques to collect opinions of an expert panel. Often, these techniques are not computerized and data visualization is rudimentary. Our highly-interactive FSS solves a number of inherent issues during the data collection, analysis, and results visualization processes. Despite that MCDM methods have been recommended for technology foresight, a validation with a real field experiment was still required. To evaluate our approach and FSS, we conducted a foresight exercise for the Swiss mobile payments market. Our research confirms that the use of MCDM methods supported with a computerized tool can enhance the foresight processes and results.
Keywords
Foresight support systems, Technology foresight, MCDM methods
Web of science
Create date
21/05/2014 12:37
Last modification date
20/08/2019 14:05