Modelling the Dynamics of Conditional Dependency Between Financial Series

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_4A2654A0627E
Type
A part of a book
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Modelling the Dynamics of Conditional Dependency Between Financial Series
Title of the book
Multi-moment Asset Allocation and Pricing Models
Author(s)
Jondeau E., Rockinger M.
Publisher
Wiley
Address of publication
Chichester, UK
ISBN
9780470034156
9781119201830
Publication state
Published
Issued date
2006
Editor
Jurczenko E., Maillet B.
Series
Wiley Finance Series
Chapter
8
Pages
195-221
Language
english
Abstract
This chapter introduces a flexible copula-based multivariate distributional specification that allows for wide possibilities of dynamics for conditional systematic (co) higher moments. The chapter develops a new methodology to measure conditional dependency between daily stock-market returns, which are known to be driven by complicated marginal distributions. Copula functions are used, which are a convenient tool for joining marginal distributions. The marginal model is a GARCH-type model with time-varying skewness and kurtosis. It is known that the residuals obtained for a GARCH model are generally non-normal, and this observation has led to the introduction of fat-tailed distributions for innovations. This chapter models the dynamics of the dependency parameter of the copula as a function of predetermined variables. It provides evidence that the model fits the data quite well. The chapter establishes that the dependency parameter is both large and persistent between European markets. This methodology has many potential applications, such as VaR measurement and portfolio allocation in non-Gaussian environments.
Create date
09/05/2008 12:52
Last modification date
20/08/2019 13:57
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