The subjectivist interpretation of probability and the problem of individualisation in forensic science

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_4A03ECCBEB1A
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
The subjectivist interpretation of probability and the problem of individualisation in forensic science
Journal
Science & Justice
Author(s)
Biedermann A., Garbolino P., Taroni F.
ISSN
1355-0306
Publication state
Published
Issued date
06/2013
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
53
Number
2
Pages
192-200
Language
english
Abstract
This paper presents and discusses further aspects of the subjectivist interpretation of probability (also known as the 'personalist' view of probabilities) as initiated in earlier forensic and legal literature. It shows that operational devices to elicit subjective probabilities - in particular the so-called scoring rules - provide additional arguments in support of the standpoint according to which categorical claims of forensic individualisation do not follow from a formal analysis under that view of probability theory.
Keywords
Subjective probability, Decision theory, Scoring rule, Individualisation
Create date
23/04/2013 7:39
Last modification date
20/08/2019 13:57
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