Uncertainty about the true source. A note on the likelihood ratio at the activity level.
Details
Serval ID
serval:BIB_3245902E8016
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Uncertainty about the true source. A note on the likelihood ratio at the activity level.
Journal
Forensic Science International
ISSN
1872-6283 (Electronic)
ISSN-L
0379-0738
Publication state
Published
Issued date
07/2012
Volume
220
Number
1-3
Pages
173-179
Language
english
Notes
Publication types: Journal Article ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Publication Status: ppublish
Publication Status: ppublish
Abstract
This paper focuses on likelihood ratio based evaluations of fibre evidence in cases in which there is uncertainty about whether or not the reference item available for analysis - that is, an item typically taken from the suspect or seized at his home - is the item actually worn at the time of the offence. A likelihood ratio approach is proposed that, for situations in which certain categorical assumptions can be made about additionally introduced parameters, converges to formula described in existing literature. The properties of the proposed likelihood ratio approach are analysed through sensitivity analyses and discussed with respect to possible argumentative implications that arise in practice.
Keywords
Evidence evaluation, Likelihood ratio, Bayesian networks, Hierarchy of propositions
Pubmed
Create date
27/06/2012 8:33
Last modification date
20/08/2019 13:17