Reading the Smile: The Message Conveyed by Methods Which Infer Risk Neutral Densities
Details
Serval ID
serval:BIB_1ECEE571EFFA
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Reading the Smile: The Message Conveyed by Methods Which Infer Risk Neutral Densities
Journal
Journal of International Money and Finance
ISSN
0261-5606
Publication state
Published
Issued date
2000
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
19
Number
6
Pages
885-915
Language
english
Abstract
In this study we compare the quality and information content of risk neutral densities obtained by various methods. We consider a non-parametric method based on a mixture of log?normal densities, the semi-parametric ones based on an Hermite approximation or based on an Edgeworth expansion, the parametric approach of Malz which assumes a jump-diffusion for the underlying process, and Heston's approach assuming a stochastic volatility model. We apply those models on FF/DM exchange rate options for two dates. Models differ when important news hits the market (here anticipated elections). The non-parametric model provides a good fit to options prices but is unable to provide as much information about market participants expectations than the jump-diffusion model.
Keywords
Risk neutral density, Exchange rate options, Option pricing
Web of science
Publisher's website
Create date
19/11/2007 9:42
Last modification date
20/08/2019 12:54