Transformative change needs direction

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_1D467921D1E5
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Transformative change needs direction
Journal
Sustainability
Author(s)
Jacobs S., Santos-Martín F., Primmer E., Boeraeve F., Morán-Ordóñez A., Proença V., Schlaepfer M., Brotons L., Dunford R., Lavorel S., Guisan A., Claudet J., Harmackova Z., Inge L., Hauck J., Kok K., Zinngrebe Y., Pedde S., Czúcz B., Solidoro C., Cantele M., Rixen C., Heck A., Desair J., Plieninger T., Harrison P.A.
Publication state
In Press
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Language
english
Abstract
Comparing the impacts of future scenarios is essential for developing and guiding the political sustainability agenda. This review-based analysis compares 6 IPBES scenarios for their impacts on 17 sustainable development goals (SDGs) and 20 biodiversity targets (Aichi targets) for the Europe and Central Asia Region. The comparison is based on a review of 143 modeled scenarios synthesized in a plural cost-benefit approach which provides distances to multiple policy goals. We confirm and substantiate the claim that transformative change is vital, but also point out which directions for political transformation are to be preferred. The hopeful message is that large societal losses might still be avoided, and multiple benefits can be generated over the coming decades and centuries. Yet, policies will need to strongly steer away from scenarios based on regional competition, inequality and economic optimism.
Create date
08/11/2022 19:12
Last modification date
09/11/2022 6:40
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