History matters: relating paths and rates of landscape change to butterfly species decline

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_18D371879ADB
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
History matters: relating paths and rates of landscape change to butterfly species decline
Journal
Environmental Management
Author(s)
Lütolf M., Kienast F., Guisan A.
ISSN
0364-152X
Publication state
Published
Issued date
2009
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
43
Number
3
Pages
436-446
Language
english
Abstract
Western European landscapes have drastically changed since the 1950s, with agricultural intensifications and the spread of urban settlements considered the most important drivers of this land-use/land-cover change. Losses of habitat for fauna and flora have been a direct consequence of this development. In the present study, we relate butterfly occurrence to land-use/land-cover changes over five decades between 1951 and 2000. The study area covers the entire Swiss territory. The 10 explanatory variables originate from agricultural statistics and censuses. Both state as well as rate was used as explanatory variables. Species distribution data were obtained from natural history collections. We selected eight butterfly species: four species occur on wetlands and four occur on dry grasslands. We used cluster analysis to track land-use/land-cover changes and to group communes based on similar trajectories of change. Generalized linear models were applied to identify factors that were significantly correlated with the persistence or disappearance of butterfly species. Results showed that decreasing agricultural areas and densities of farms with more than 10 ha of cultivated land are significantly related with wetland species decline, and increasing densities of livestock seem to have favored disappearance of dry grassland species. Moreover, we show that species declines are not only dependent on land-use/land-cover states but also on the rates of change; that is, the higher the transformation rate from small to large farms, the higher the loss of dry grassland species. We suggest that more attention should be paid to the rates of landscape change as feasible drivers of species change and derive some management suggestions.
Keywords
Butterfly species, Cluster analysis, Generalized linear model, Historical data analysis, Natural history collection data, Rates of landscape change, LANDSCAPE, HABITAT, MODELS, EXTINCTION, ECOLOGY, ABANDONMENT, DIVERSITY, VIABILITY, CLIMATE
Web of science
Create date
12/03/2009 12:33
Last modification date
20/08/2019 12:49
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