De Finetti's subjectivism, the assessment of probabilities and the evaluation of evidence: a commentary for forensic scientists.

Details

Serval ID
serval:BIB_18100
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
De Finetti's subjectivism, the assessment of probabilities and the evaluation of evidence: a commentary for forensic scientists.
Journal
Science & Justice
Author(s)
Taroni F., Aitken CGG., Garbolino P.
ISSN
1355-0306
Publication state
Published
Issued date
2001
Volume
41
Number
3
Pages
145-150
Language
english
Abstract
This paper presents the historical and philosophical definition of subjective probabilities (also called degree of belief or Bayesian probabilities). It presents a case for the scientist to use subjective probabilities in the process of parameter estimation and evidence evaluation under the Bayesian framework. It is emphasised that Bayesian methodology does not pretend to get the 'true' probabilities: it is an effective method to analyse, criticise, check the 'coherence' of people's opinions, and to help them in revising their opinions in a 'coherent' way.
Web of science
Create date
19/11/2007 9:39
Last modification date
20/08/2019 12:48
Usage data